THE RACLEPOWERED BY LYKOS INTELLIGENCE
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Data & Methods

Every dataset the Oracle holds, where it came from, and the standard every public sentence has to pass. Judge us by our sources: all public, all named, all datable.

The standard

Three rules govern everything published here. No adjectives of judgment — delete the word; if the sentence only loses emphasis, it never ships. Both columns, always — every analysis showing a benefit shows the corresponding cost at the same depth, and the reverse; balance is measured, not felt. Every number carries its source — publisher, table, and vintage, in the sentence, so screenshots keep the citation. Claims that are not ours are labeled: [CLAIM] for company or campaign statements, [ADV] for advocacy-commissioned research, [ARITH] for our own arithmetic with inputs stated. Forecasts ship with every assumption printed, labeled projection-not-prediction.

The registry — federal
DatasetPublisher & tableWhat it provides
Personal income & transfersBEA CAINC4 (Feb 2026 vintage), lines 10 & 47Income and government-transfer share, every county, 1969–2024
GDP by areaBEA CAGDP2, 2001–2024County and metro GDP
PopulationCensus Bureau estimates (vintage 2024) + decennialAll counties and metro/micro areas, 2000–2024
Demographics & housingACS 2020–2024 5-year (B15003, B17001, B19013, B19019, B20017, B23003, B23008, B23025, B25014, B25034, B25047, B25052, B25077)Education, poverty, income, earnings, parents' labor force, housing age and condition
Employment & wagesBLS QCEW annual averages, per-area filesEstablishments, employment, wages by area
Business starts & exitsCensus Business Dynamics Statistics, 2023 release (county series 1978–2023)Establishment births/deaths, job creation/destruction — from payroll-tax records, not surveys
Industry mixCensus County Business Patterns, 2013 & 2023 county filesEstablishment counts by industry, every county — the arrivals-and-departures tables
GeographyOMB 2023 county–CBSA delineations; Census gazetteer; 2020 ZCTA–county crosswalkAll joins between counties, metros, and ZIP codes
The registry — state (childcare layer)
StateSourceWhat it provides
TexasHHSC Child Care Licensing (data.texas.gov, updated daily); TWC facility report 2024 Q2 (Texas Rising Star); TWC WARN noticesLicensed capacity, subsidy acceptance, inspection deficiencies, quality ratings, mass-layoff notices — 241 counties
OklahomaOKDHS Child Care Locator, per-provider public records (pulled 2026-08-24, 99.0% of 2,682 providers)Capacity, 1–5 star ratings, subsidy acceptance, monitoring compliance — 77 counties
KansasKDHE licensing data via the Child Care Aware of Kansas county supply file (vintage: 2023–24 cycle; stated wherever used)Licensed capacity and actual enrollment — 105 counties
New MexicoECECD Annual Outcomes Report FY25Children served by county; capacity published statewide only
ArkansasNo bulk file published; official search is an interactive applicationDocumented as a coverage gap, not silently omitted
The topics layer

Weekly "most-discussed topics" per region come from Google News aggregation of each area's own outlets (last 7 days), scored against a fixed neutral taxonomy of eleven topics. This measures coverage volume, not merit. We do not collect from social platforms, never log in anywhere, and never post, reply, or seed discussions.

Method notes that matter

Care-needing children = children under 6 with every resident parent in the labor force (B23008 lines 4+10+13). Slots per care-needing child divides licensed capacity by that count — capacity is a licensed maximum, not enrollment, and some slots serve school-age children; the biases run in opposite directions and are stated wherever the ratio appears. Multi-county and multi-year rates are pooled sums, not averages of published annual rates. County-to-metro aggregation uses the OMB 2023 map. Where a measure is unavailable (e.g., BLS county unemployment files blocked to non-browser clients), the substitute (ACS 5-year) is labeled in place.

Corrections and contact

The correction policy and permanent log live on the corrections page. Every email is read by a person; an error report gets a correction at the top of the next issue and a permanent entry in the log.